Oddsmakers: Who Will Win a Council Seat?

For some, today will be the end of a campaign. For others, today’s election will merely serve as a prelude to a bigger battle.

Five City Council seats—the even numbered districts—are up for grabs. We won’t waste time breaking down each of the candidates; you already know where everyone stands. This is an opportunity to play soothsayer on which candidates will wake up Wednesday morning with a smile, knowing their political future still shines bright.

In order to win a seat on the council today, a candidate must take at least 50 percent of the vote. If not, the top two candidates in each district will have a runoff in the November election.

So, who do you think will enter a runoff and who do you think will win?

District 2
Ash Kalra (incumbent)
Tim Murphy

District 4
Kansen Chu (incumbent)
Tam Truong
Rafael Sabic

District 6
Pierluigi Oliverio (incumbent)
Steve Kline
Bill Chew

District 8
Rose Herrera (incumbent)
Patricia Maritnez-Roach
Jimmy Nguyen

District 10 (no incumbent)
Edesa Bitbdal
Robert Braunstein
Denelle Fedor
Leslie Reynolds
Johnny Khamis
Brian O’Neill

6 Comments

  1. District 10:

    Run-off between

    Robert Braunstein and Denelle Fedor.

    Based on endorsements by M&M (Merc and Metro) the political shamans want Braunstein.

    Denelle Fedor is the “Republican” un-Braunstein, although she professes to be “non-partisan/bi-partisan”.

    Run-off winner:  the Shamans.

    Run-off losers:  voters and tax-payers of District 10 and San Jose, as Council Member Braunstein spends years trying to be a centrist moderate only to realize ultimately that “centrist moderate” is just another term for irrelevant, flat, squashed armadillo.

    Biggest all-around loser, run-off or no run-off, election or no election:  Brian O’Neill.

    He can’t help it.  He just is.

  2. District 2

    Kalra wins today. He’s bound to get >50% against 1 marginal opponent.

    District 4

    Chu wins today unless measure B really changes things.

    District 6

    Pierre runs away with it. He’s loved in the district except among public employees.

    District 8

    I think Herrera is home free because her opponents are so weak.

    District 10:

    Braunstein and Fedor enter the runoff but it could also be Braunstein and Bitbdal

  3. Sorry, but PO is not loved in the district “..except among public employees.”  Those he’s turned his back on, those he’s offended, those he’s ignored and those he’s angered do not like much less love him.  It’s not all about public employees, Measure B or pensions.

    • Oliverio is on the right side of history.  He’s going to make a great mayor.

      Chu and Kalra have a future too, if they see the handwriting on the wall.

  4. D6Diva,

    Results don’t lie. PO never had to catch his breath and went to bed early.

    Boy was I wrong on D10. I expected Braunstein to be in the runoff but Khamis? Who is he?

    Herrera is pushed into runoff but I think she survives.

    Otherwise I did pretty well.

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