California is an expensive place to call home.
It’s such a fundamental part of California life it almost feels silly to say. Along with good weather, sunny beaches, Hollywood and the Golden Gate Bridge, the skyhigh cost of housing has become part of the state’s national identity.
The high cost of housing touches virtually every aspect of life across the state. It shapes where we can and can’t live and with whom, where our kids can grow up and go to school, where we can work and how long our commutes are. It is the root cause of some of the state’s most pressing crises, like homelessness and poverty, and there are few challenges Californians face that aren’t made worse by the relative scarcity of affordable places to call home.
High rents widen the gap between rich and poor. High home prices make wealth generation an ever-more exclusive pursuit. Expensive cities force more workers to commute, which means more driving, traffic and greenhouse gas emissions.
“There’s no issue that impacts the state in more ways on more days than the issue of housing,” Gov. Gavin Newsom has said. “This is the original sin in the state of California.”
We know all of this is true. We live it every day. But how did things get so bad? And is there anything we can do to make California affordable again? Here’s what you need to know about California’s housing costs.
Buying a house in California
Really hard. Both compared to how difficult it is in other states, and how challenging it was for previous generations of Californians.
In the late 1960s, the value of the typical California home was more than four times the average household’s income. Today, it’s worth more than 11 times what the average household makes.
While it’s always been more expensive to be a homeowner in California, the gap between the rest of the country has widened into a chasm. The median California home is priced nearly 2.5 times higher than the median national home, according to 2022 Census data.
Both high and low interest rates haven’t helped much. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve pushed down borrowing costs, making it easier to take out a mortgage on better terms. But that only drew more would-be borrowers into the market, pumping up demand for the short supply of homes for sale in California. So prices went up.In the face of roaring inflation, the Fed jacked up interest rates in 2022. That drove plenty of buyers out of the market, but it also convinced many homeowners to reconsider selling. Homes, already in short supply, disappeared from the market. So prices went up.
Homeownership rates
Given how expensive it is to actually buy a house here, maybe it’s not surprising that California’s homeownership rate is on the low end. Just over half of Californians own the home they live in, the second lowest rate of any state in the country. Nationwide, two out of every three households own their homes.
California’s homeowners also skew significantly white. White Californians are twice as likely as Black Californians to own, according to 2022 Census data. That racial gap widened over the years, which also means Black Californians are less likely to build wealth over time, said Carolina Reid, associate professor of city and regional planning at UC Berkeley.
Racial disparities pop up in every corner of the housing market.
“Blacks and Hispanics are more likely to be cost burdened, more likely to live in overcrowded conditions, more at risk of eviction, and displacement,” she said.
Rent is too high
Rents are among the highest in the country in California, home to four of the ten most expensive large cities for tenants, according to the rental listing website Zumper. Believe it or not, that’s actually an improvement since 2020. In the state’s priciest cities, an outflux of residents and an modest apartment building boom have had the combined effect of slowing (or in some cases) even reducing rents.
Still, California is anything but affordable for most renters.
The state’s low homeownership rate plays a role here. As it has become more difficult to buy a home, wealthier people have remained stuck in the rental market — and driven up rents.
Wages can’t always keep up
Though renters saw sluggish wage growth in the first half decade after the Great Recession, median incomes among California tenants have ramped up in recent years. On average, income over the past two decades has finally caught up with escalating rents.
That’s the good news.
The bad news is those income gains haven’t been spread around the state evenly, even as rents continue to ratchet up for everyone.
More than half of California renters are rent burdened, which means that more than 30% of their income goes toward rent, according to the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies. Nearly a third of Californians are severely rent-burdened, which means that rent eats more than half of their income. No surprise, rent burdens are rare among high earners and virtually ubiquitous among those living below or near the poverty line.
The numbers are worse for families of color, too. A California Housing Partnership analysis found that in 2019, Black renter households were about twice as likely as white renter households to be severely cost burdened.
Homelessness is on the rise
The number of people experiencing homelessness is notoriously hard to track, but the estimates available indicate that the problem is as bad as it has ever been.
State numbers show that throughout 2023, more than 300,000 people accessed homeless services through local agencies. About 220,000 were single adults, and nearly 116,000 in families with kids. Los Angeles County, the state’s most populous county, also had the highest number of people experiencing homelessness, with about 100,000 people accessing services. But the crisis affects every corner of the state.
People lose their homes for a wide variety of reasons. The sudden loss of a job, a mental health crisis, a severe substance abuse problem and becoming the victim of domestic violence are common factors that can push a Californian into homelessness. But there’s no evidence that California experiences those social ills at substantially higher rates than other states. Experts and survey results suggest that the main reason that homelessness is so much more severe in California than most other states is a lack of affordable housing.
Housing shortage
California just doesn’t have enough housing to keep up with demand. The difference between the number of homes we need and the number we’ve been building has been growing for decades.
The gap is starting to shrink. But very, very slowly.
Population has essentially broken even over the last decade, while the state experienced a modest building boom in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. As of 2024, there are more homes per person — 3,789 units for every 10,000 Californians — than there have been since at least 1991.
But the picture might be less encouraging than those numbers suggest.
The number of people living in each home has been on a long-term decline across the country, a trend turbo charged during the pandemic. That makes the number of homes that the state needs to build to keep up with demand a moving target. And however you define the size of the state’s housing shortage, we’re nowhere close to closing it.
Gov. Gavin Newsom’s administration has set a statewide production goal of roughly 2.5 million new units by the end of the decade — or roughly 315,000 per year. The state has never come close to building that much that quickly.
Building new homes is expensive
Part of the problem boils down to the (literal) nuts and bolts of housing development. The cost of building multifamily housing in California spiked by about 25% between 2010 and 2020, according to a report by the Terner Center for Housing Innovation at UC Berkeley. In the first few years of this decade, construction costs in the state’s major metros increased nine % or more each year, according to a state cost index.
On average, each square foot cost $44 more to build in 2018 than it did a decade ago across the state. In the Bay Area, however, that cost jumped up by $81 a square foot, according to the Terner Center. And affordable housing was more expensive to build than market rate housing.
The reasons are many and complicated. Land costs, permitting delays, borrowing costs, local fees and the threat of litigation can all add up. Subsidized housing typically receive public funding and so have to abide by heightened hiring, wage, environmental and public amenity requirements. But two especially big ones are more expensive materials — which saw particularly price hikes during and immediately following the pandemic — and a relative shortage of labor. While the number of permitted units spiked by 230% between 2009 and 2023, the number of workers has grown by only 45%. Experts attribute the lack of construction labor to restrictive immigration laws, a tighter overall labor market, the inability of residential jobs to compete with higher paying commercial projects and a construction workforce that is still coming back online after it was gutted during the Great Recession.
Expensive land
But construction costs are only part of the problem.
In most of the state’s major urban areas, the bulk of a single-family house’s price is locked into the land it sits on. That high price tag on the cost of actually buying a parcel, prepping it for construction and getting the regulatory approval to break ground not only makes new housing more expensive, it influences what kind of housing gets produced: Developers prioritize high-end projects, since even the cheapest prefab unit will come stuck with a steep fixed cost.
What makes land expensive? A lack of supply doesn’t help. Take San Francisco: Seven-by-seven miles of rolling hills penned in by water on three sides. Of the top 15 most physically constrained metro areas in the country, seven dot California’s oh-so-desirable (and oh-so-expensive) coast.
But many of those same coveted locales place additional limits on where — and when and how and how much — construction can take place. That all makes it that much harder for housing to keep up with demand. And for decades, it has not.
NIMBY
Who has cause to celebrate when a new housing project goes up in your neighborhood? Young homebuyers, nearby businesses, new arrivals to the area, and, of course, developers. But people who have been living in the neighborhood for years may worry that the new development will depress the value of the homes they own, or (paradoxically) trigger increases in the rent they pay. Those who prefer not to live next door to a construction site, or watch their zucchini garden wither in the shadow of a garish new condo building, have plenty of reasons to object, too.
And object they have. For generations, land use planning in California was a strictly local process — and one that afforded opponents of change ample opportunity to stall, stymie, or scale down. The tool kit of local obstruction includes zoning restrictions, lengthy project design reviews, the California Environmental Quality Act, parking and other amenity requirements, and multi-hurdled approval processes. In California, you’re most likely to find these extra restrictions where developable space is already scarcest — in coastal urban enclaves.
Local pushback might be rooted in concerns about the environment, about congestion, about the creep of gentrification, or in a desire to preserve the “character” of the neighborhood (however that might be defined). But whatever the flavor of “Not in my backyard”-ism and whatever its ultimate goals, higher hurdles to development in the state’s most desirable locations mean many cities have failed to add new units fast enough to keep up with population or job growth.
And that inevitably means higher prices.
Public dollars: A bust then a boom
A little recent history: In 2012, California began unwinding its redevelopment agencies, the local investment organizations tasked with revitalizing “blighted” areas across the state. By law, redevelopment agencies were supposed to provide a guaranteed stream of cash to cities for subsidized housing — 20% of any increase in property tax payments.
With the end of redevelopment came the end of the single largest source of non-federal money for affordable housing in the state. Between 2013 and 2018, state investments in affordable housing dropped from an annual average of $1.3 billion to less than $500 million, according to the California Housing Partnership.
Spending ramped back up during the Newsom administration through a combination of new bond sales, the rare tax measure and a glut of one-time funding during good budget years. But even as spending has crept back up (and then some), the cost of building housing purpose-built for lower income Californians continues to climb faster and affordable housing advocates still yearn for a permanent source.
Getting around local opponents
It’s hard to get people to agree on a solution when they don’t even agree on the problem.
Ask some state politicians and much of the blame for California’s housing woes lies with local obstructionists. Take away the NIMBYs’ favorite procedural tools and the housing market will eventually build its way out of the shortage, they argue.
But “red tape” has a powerful constituency. Its members include:
- City governments, which generally like having a say in what does and doesn’t get built within their borders. The powerful League of California Cities has opposed several measures to streamline the local housing approval process. It has called such efforts counter to the “the principles of local democracy and public engagement.”
- Environmentalists, who don’t want the Legislature tinkering with the California Environmental Quality Act or similar eco-minded regulations. Pro-housing advocates argue that environmental concerns can be used as a pretext to hold up a project for any number of unrelated reasons. Cases in point: The law has been used in the past to block high-density housing and bike lanes and the conversion of parking lots into affordable housing. The law’s defenders counter that legal challenges are fairly rare.
- Building trade groups also benefit from the status quo. Proposed changes to make it easier to build almost invariably lead to debates among organized labor groups over what kinds of high wage requirements and union-hiring mandates should be included. When the trades don’t get their way, they’ve been known to block legislation or oppose local developments.
- Anti-gentrification activists, who often argue that developers should be saddled with more restrictions, not fewer. New houses may bring down prices over time and in general, they argue, but for those who are facing eviction or displacement today, new, high-end development only makes a particular locale more attractive to outside investors and wealthy house hunters.
- Good old fashioned NIMBYs. As California lawmakers have set their sites on building denser, more affordable housing within the state’s exclusive suburbs, local lawmakers and irate homeowners have gotten creative in their efforts to get around the rules. A few examples of what cities have tried: Declaring themselves mountain lion habitats, requesting historic designation protections, rewriting their local constitutions and shunting required development onto parcels that are literally underwater.
What about Prop. 13?
You’d be hard pressed to find a single aspect of California life that isn’t affected by Proposition 13. Naturally, it gets blamed for an awful lot of the state’s problems.
So what about the cost of housing? After all, Prop. 13, California’s 1978 tax revolt initiative, capped property taxes at 1 % of a home’s purchase price and limited the rate taxes can tick up each year by 2 %. Financially, a city giving available land to new housing doesn’t necessarily make much sense if a sales-tax-paying restaurant or clothing store is waiting in the wings.
But the Legislative Analyst’s Office looked into the question of whether the state’s capped property taxes distort local land use decisions. Their conclusion: a resounding “probably not.” In short, a city’s dependence on property taxes or sales taxes didn’t predict much about its land use decisions.
Even so, there are other ways in which Prop. 13 could be contributing to our housing affordability crisis. Lower property tax rates allow many longtime homeowners to stay in homes that have skyrocketed in value. But it also means empty nesters with large homes face less financial pressure to downsize and make room for new buyers. Another consequence of capped property taxes is that local governments have to scramble for other sources of cash. One of those sources is housing developers. On average, California levies the highest developer fees in the country, making it that much more difficult to build new housing.
Legislation timeline
Once upon a time, it was taken for granted in Sacramento that housing policy was to be left up to the locals. That is no longer the case. Since 2017, a growing chorus of state lawmakers — an informal caucus that includes both progressive Democrats and conservative Republicans — have come to the conclusion that the state needs to play an active role in ensuring that California builds more homes, even if that means steamrolling reluctant local governments, environmental interests and unions.
The laws that they have passed have radically reshaped California housing law, even if they’ve been slow so far to resolve the affordability crisis.
A few of the biggies:
- Regulator teeth: A 2018 law gave state housing regulators more power to force local governments to plan for more housing development.
- ADUs in every backyard: A 2019 law makes it harder for local governments to keep homeowners from building backyard bungalows, also known as accessory dwelling units.
- Rent cap: This 2019 law put a lid on how much landlords of some (though not all) properties can raise from year to year.
- No downzoning: Another 2019 law, this one prevents local governments from reducing the overall number of homes that can be permitted within their borders.
- Density for affordability: A 2020 law allows developers to radically increase the number of units in a project if a certain share is designated affordable.
- Duplexification: In 2021, the state passed which is still known in housing circles by its bill number, SB 9. It requires cities and counties to allow for duplexes on parcels currently exclusively zoned for single family homes.
- Stripmalls to housing: This 2022 law makes it easier to convert defunct businesses along commercial corridors into apartment buildings.
- Apartments by-right: A 2023 law by San Francisco Sen. Scott Wiener allows many proposed apartment buildings with some units set aside for lower income Californians to be exempt from environmental litigation or local discretionary review. The law was an update to an earlier version, also by Wiener, from 2017.
Ben Christopher and Manuel Tobias are reporters with CalMatters.
And what will many Californians do, simply because they already have homes and are clueless as to how hard it is for younger generations to own homes where they were raised? Vote for Harris! Someone who supported over-regulation and another liberal elite who hasn’t a clue as to what it’s like really earning the $300,000 down payment needed to buy in San Jose – then sustaining all of the high taxes and $10,000+ monthly expenses on a $1.5 million home. But even more disturbing is the continued trend of only elites/very high salary individuals being able to purchase in a housing for sale market with a less than 1% vacancy rate in an area where many can drop six-figures over asking. And what is San Jose’s idea – many leaders who own single family homes and have a yard? Either 1) have families live in giant apartments without parking OR; 2) buy an overpriced ADU in one of the rich peoples back yard. Seriously!?
What we will see in CA, especially the Bay where high tech jobs pay a fortune (which is really why a 1200 sq ft home built in the 1960s will sell for $1.7M in Almaden Valley) and dominate the housing market – is a continued trend of families leaving the area because they want that single family home. We will see continued rises in multifamily vacancies over the years and a continued increase in the for sale market. The plan of “build up and everywhere” isn’t one that will solve the housing issue in CA, because the larger issue has been misdiagnosed.
“Lower property tax rates allow many longtime homeowners to stay in homes that have skyrocketed in value. But it also means empty nesters with large homes face less financial pressure to downsize and make room for new buyers.”
To Ben Christopher and Manuela Tobias, please do not paint us the elders as hoarders, it’s disgraceful. The majority of us simply want to keep a roof over our heads while we’re old, just like many others.
Please also note that we don’t actually get a penny from our “so called million dollar house” if we just feel like to stay in one place till we die and nothing more. So please do not echo the non-sense, or… being sour???
Go after those big corporations and many foreign investors who game on the market and flip-flop houses. I wish something meaningful could have been done long ago.
This article is comprehensive in providing a perspective on the continued housing crisis in California, however, it repeats known information that continues to be reported. One of the causes of the housing crisis that needs more emphasis is the influence of real estate persons who push for higher prices to please their sellers and increase their commissions. This housing crisis is beyond the power of new elected officials (of any party) to solve although they do always promise to address it. The social impact on the family structure is underestimated and leads to other social problems. Older homeowners and tech professions with high incomes should not be blamed as it is easy to point fingers and lament the future of our young population. It truly is a crisis that will continue and will continue to be reported as such.
All these housing crisis articles always seem to blame the homeowners who are already here many years now and are looking for ways to legislate us out of our homes with more and higher taxes to pay for others to come here subsidized by us. How does that work? Make it even more expensive for the existing population? We pay for your expensive housing and somehow this whole crisis is our fault? It’s government mismanagement created by their own 2008 housing mortgage crisis. Does any one remember the massive number mortgage defaults, foreclosures, distressed properties and bank owned properties for sale at deflationary prices in 2008-2009? Created by banks and lack of government regulation? Who do you think bought those up? This is the crisis that keeps on going and Covid made it worse. Banks love foreign investors with cash, so does greedy government who want tax revenues. China is sitting on enough empty housing units to house the entire population of Germany and no one is buying. So tired of hearing this story of not enough housing. They put builders out of business in 2008 and they found other careers to pay the bills and afford their own houses. Now it’s government and progressives whining and not learning from past mistakes they made for greed and money. Growth at any cost even if it makes no sense. I wonder how many expensive empty apartments units we’ll have. More than China?
The other interesting part is how many want to cap rent increases close to inflation but taxes, utilities, insurance, gasoline, and food are climbing way past the rate of inflation and that’s ok?
Hear hear Old Folk. Also go after the real imbalance, the fact that corporate property rates are also set under the same Prop 13 formula. So the Macys that was acquired in 1978 pays much lower rates than a new store coming in. Ditto for the large Tech companies and their buildings
. And to those who say businesses already pay their fair share/too much homeowners pay much more of a % of the property taxes post prop 13 in CA vs businesses.
BTW why are regulations bad only when you don’t like them. Prop 13 is a regulation. Don’t see many republicans against it.
You cannot TAX our way out of this, that will only cause more harm as already proven time and again.
Government intervention and bureaucracy have altered the renters, sellers & buyers incentives enough already (and that is obviously not been in a goof way).
Get Government out of the Housing market and we might be able to get back to some sense of normalcy.
Idiots want high taxes for everyone. That includes property taxes, and idiots want property taxes to be based on land or real estate prices or values, even though it has nothing to do with the needs of government. In fact, many are more lowly and are greedy about getting high taxes, which is why in the end there was a tax revolt and forced reform in 1978. What’s needed is everyone being limited to tax levels that are reasonable (and of course, affordable), not without limit. But so many in California and elsewhere now know nothing or are worse, morally or developmentally short, and want to tax others as much as possible, especially the longer they have lived in the state, or simply have lived.
About new development, most people want houses, not apartments, and building more apartments does nothing to address that other than to increase the number who will want houses.
We have still to wait until the area around Gilroy (San Felipe, Hollister, San Juan Bautista) will be experiencing the development of tracts full of what else but houses, since the area need and should not be destined to host more utilitarian and corporate stuff like those warehouses as in the Inland Empire now, to the south.
You will not regulate yourself out of this either. You can only deregulate your way out.
End CEQA
End Urban Growth Boundaries
End Inclusionary Fees
End Rent Control
End Just Cause Evictions
Saddle all tax payers with Impact Fees
End Restrictive Zoning
Expropriate and sell off Open Space
and build roads and houses until the trees and tar is gone
All Progressive regulations steal the blood-life of the poor to make the rich richer. It is literally a government transfers from the poor to the rich.
Shame on you!
Local and State government need to stop adding programs that they can’t afford to keep. If the city and state government focused on top priorities- police, fire, roads- and stopped adding in non essential programs there would be enough money. The problem is not those of us that sacrificed to buy a home that as more than 50% of our take home pay and now desire to stay. The problem is that new buyers don’t want to invest in their future- they want a home they cannot afford. I object to any more taxes so that I can fund someone else’s home– I sacrificed to have what I have and m not interested in bankrolling a non family member that feels entitled.
There is a lot of, as usual, envy and resentment, and irrational and morally compromised generational warfare as a related example phenomenon, related to housing and housing policy.
Many older people are trapped where they are. Others are happy where they are and they have no, repeat, no, obligation to leave, or to provide their homes to others. This is not a collectivist system or to favor kids of advanced ages. It’s not younger people’s “turn” now in the houses. Go where it is more affordable, as other older people were doing starting in the 1970s and making Tracy well known in the Bay Area. People even moved out of state in the late 1970s and in the 1980s (the old Seattleite gripe).
Some older people will leave later, and homes not sold on leaving may not be inherited (about which there is nothing wrong). However, in addition to highly-paid people, there are immigrants and with housing, big money in particular since 2008 going after housing (and building to-rent communities), and demand is not as likely to slake or do so as much as many of you might desire. Demand remains the key; supply is naturally constrained by water bodies including the Bay and by mountains. Only so many houses, what most want, or larger properties can be developed locally. Range farther.
The old standby argument. Pit one (home owners) against an other (renters).
Some facts: https://www.thebignewsletter.com/p/its-the-land-stupid-how-the-homebuilder
No mention of how the wildfires caused by PG&E (and bad government land management policy) dramatically increased the cost of home building (shortages of materials and labor due to rebuilding what was burned down)?
No mention CA income, sales and gas taxes are the highest in the country. Perhaps that impacts one’s ability to save & buy?
No mention of converting all that empty office space to apartments/condos.
Prop 13 limits property “tax” increases but not all the fees (a.k.a. taxes) that get tacked on.
As much as I hate more taxes but Proposition 13 has a lot to do with it. It unfairly treats new owners against old. I am fine with 1% of property value part (not purchase price). It is maximum increase of 2% that creates the differential. Make property tax as 1% of current market price (as the rest of the country does) and be done with it. Equity between owners in terms of taxes is important. Seniors can be given tax deductions separately.